Everything you need to understand prediction markets — from basic mechanics to professional trading strategies. The research layer behind every Altus Alpha prediction.
Contracts, order books, price discovery — the mechanics of event trading explained from first principles.
The gold standard for probabilistic forecasting. How it's calculated, what good looks like, and why calibration matters.
Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, Betfair — every platform that matters, compared.
51 patterns in 10 categories — a systematic framework for event market trading. From fundamental analysis to behavioral exploitation.
Exploiting price differences across platforms. Three dimensions: cross-platform, cross-contract, and temporal arbitrage.
Why European-based forecasters have a structural information advantage on US-centric prediction platforms.
Deep education happens on the vertical sites — each with its own research library tailored to the domain.
NVIDIA supply chain, TSMC technology nodes, hyperscaler capex — the research behind finance predictions.
50+1 rule, TV rights, transfer mechanics, stadium economics — the context behind football predictions.
ABR, AI Barbell, SaaSpocalypse — investment concepts behind Closelook research.
Free, reputation-based, no real money. Apply what you've learned.