Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?

sports · class A · confidence 95.00 %

Trade direction

SELL YES on Polymarket / BUY at pendant (Polymarket above pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity
RED
Polymarket bid-ask
GREEN
Match class
GREEN
Spread size
RED
Persistence
YELLOW

Polymarket

Question
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?
Outcome
Yes
Mid price
0.0160
Bid / Ask
0.0150 / 0.0170 (0c spread)
Volume 24h
$8,392
Open interest
$0
Resolution date
2026-10-31
Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-baseball_mlb_world_series_winner-outrights
Implied probability
1.36 %
Pendant confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle baseball_mlb_world_series_winner outrights, vig 20.89 % removed over 30 outcomes (matched "Boston Red Sox", exact)
As of
2026-06-03 08:00 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade)
0.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption
1.00 %
Pendant cost
1.00 %

Classifier

Model
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match class
A
Confidence
95.00 %
Reasoning
Klassische Season-Outright-Frage im Major-League-Baseball. Identischer Outcome (Boston Red Sox gewinnt 2026 World Series), identisches Resolution-Datum, und MLB.com ist Standard-Resolution-Quelle für Pinnacle-Sportmärkte. Pinnacle bietet umfassend Saison-Meisterschaft-Outrights für MLB an. Klasse A erwartet.
Canonical form
Boston Red Sox · Season Outright Winner · 2026-10-31

History

Spread history (last 22 snapshots, oldest first):