Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

sports · class A · confidence 95.00 %

Trade direction

SELL YES on Polymarket / BUY at pendant (Polymarket above pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity
RED
Polymarket bid-ask
GREEN
Match class
GREEN
Spread size
RED
Persistence
YELLOW

Polymarket

Question
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
Outcome
Yes
Mid price
0.2550
Bid / Ask
0.2500 / 0.2600 (1c spread)
Volume 24h
$2,309
Open interest
$0
Resolution date
2026-10-31
Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-baseball_mlb_world_series_winner-outrights
Implied probability
24.84 %
Pendant confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle baseball_mlb_world_series_winner outrights, vig 20.89 % removed over 30 outcomes (matched "Los Angeles Dodgers", exact)
As of
2026-06-03 08:01 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade)
1.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption
1.00 %
Pendant cost
1.00 %

Classifier

Model
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match class
A
Confidence
95.00 %
Reasoning
Standard MLB season outright (World Series winner) market. Identical quantitative scope (single team, single season, single outcome), matching resolution date (end of 2026 World Series, resolved by 2026-10-31), and universally accepted resolution source (MLB official records). Pinnacle offers comprehensive MLB outrights including all 30 teams for major tournaments. High confidence for Class A match.
Canonical form
Los Angeles Dodgers · Season Outright Winner · 2026-10-31

History

Spread history (last 13 snapshots, oldest first):