Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

sports · class A · confidence 98.00 %

Trade direction

SELL YES on Polymarket / BUY at pendant (Polymarket above pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity
RED
Polymarket bid-ask
GREEN
Match class
GREEN
Spread size
GREEN
Persistence
YELLOW

Polymarket

Question
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Outcome
Yes
Mid price
0.9995
Bid / Ask
0.9990 / 1.0000 (0c spread)
Volume 24h
$1,903,949
Open interest
$0
Resolution date
2026-07-01
Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-basketball_nba_championship_winner-outrights
Implied probability
8.83 %
Pendant confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle basketball_nba_championship_winner outrights, vig 19.50 % removed over 30 outcomes (matched "New York Knicks", exact)
As of
2026-07-18 08:00 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade)
0.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption
1.00 %
Pendant cost
1.00 %

Classifier

Model
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match class
A
Confidence
98.00 %
Reasoning
Klasse-A-Match erwartet. Standard NBA Championship Outright für spezifisches Team und Jahr. Auflösungsdatum liegt unmittelbar nach typischem NBA-Finals-Abschluss. Resolution-Quelle (NBA) ist universell akzeptiert für Pinnacle Sports. Identical zu Standard-Pinnacle-Formatierung: Team + Championship Year. Keine Abweichungen in Outcome-Definition, Zeitfenster oder Autorität.
Canonical form
New York Knicks · Season Outright - Championship Winner · 2026-07-01

History

Spread history (last 33 snapshots, oldest first):

7 colour changes in the tracking window.