Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?

sports · class A · confidence 98.00 %

Trade direction

BUY YES on Polymarket / SELL at pendant (Polymarket below pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity
RED
Polymarket bid-ask
GREEN
Match class
GREEN
Spread size
RED
Persistence
YELLOW

Polymarket

Question
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?
Outcome
Yes
Mid price
0.0115
Bid / Ask
0.0110 / 0.0120 (0c spread)
Volume 24h
$6,859
Open interest
$0
Resolution date
2026-10-31
Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-baseball_mlb_world_series_winner-outrights
Implied probability
1.31 %
Pendant confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle baseball_mlb_world_series_winner outrights, vig 20.89 % removed over 30 outcomes (matched "New York Mets", exact)
As of
2026-06-03 08:01 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade)
0.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption
1.00 %
Pendant cost
1.00 %

Classifier

Model
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match class
A
Confidence
98.00 %
Reasoning
Standard MLB season outright bet on team to win World Series. Pinnacle offers comprehensive MLB season winner markets with identical resolution logic (team elimination = loss, season cancellation = void/other). Resolution date aligns with typical World Series completion window (late October 2026). Outcome naming is standard. No material ambiguities in resolution criteria beyond normal sports market conventions.
Canonical form
New York Mets · Season Outright - Tournament Winner · 2026-10-31

History

Spread history (last 13 snapshots, oldest first):