Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?

sports · class A · confidence 98.00 %

Trade direction

SELL YES on Polymarket / BUY at pendant (Polymarket above pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity
RED
Polymarket bid-ask
GREEN
Match class
GREEN
Spread size
RED
Persistence
YELLOW

Polymarket

Question
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
Outcome
Yes
Mid price
0.1350
Bid / Ask
0.1300 / 0.1400 (1c spread)
Volume 24h
$736
Open interest
$0
Resolution date
2026-10-31
Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-baseball_mlb_world_series_winner-outrights
Implied probability
11.82 %
Pendant confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle baseball_mlb_world_series_winner outrights, vig 20.89 % removed over 30 outcomes (matched "New York Yankees", exact)
As of
2026-06-03 08:00 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade)
1.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption
1.00 %
Pendant cost
1.00 %

Classifier

Model
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match class
A
Confidence
98.00 %
Reasoning
Standardisierte Saison-Outright-Frage für MLB World Series. Identisch mit Pinnacle-Märkten für Team-to-win-Championship. Resolution-Termin (2026-10-31) ist korrekt für World Series Abschluss. Resolution-Quelle (MLB.com) ist Standard und akzeptiert. Klasse A: Selber Outcome, selbes Datum, äquivalente Quelle. Pinnacle bietet systematisch solche Märkte an.
Canonical form
MLB World Series 2026 · Season Outright / Tournament Winner · 2026-10-31

History

Spread history (last 22 snapshots, oldest first):