Altus Alpha › Mispricing Lab › will-the-philadelphia-76ers-win-the-2026-nba-finals__pinnacle

Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

sports · class A · confidence 95.00 %

Trade direction

BUY YES on Polymarket / SELL at pendant (Polymarket below pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity
RED
Polymarket bid-ask
GREEN
Match class
GREEN
Spread size
YELLOW
Persistence
YELLOW

Polymarket

Question
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Outcome
Yes
Mid price
0.0045
Bid / Ask
0.0040 / 0.0050 (0c spread)
Volume 24h
$109,348
Open interest
$0
Resolution date
2026-07-01
Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-basketball_nba_championship_winner-outrights
Implied probability
4.72 %
Pendant confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle basketball_nba_championship_winner outrights, vig 19.50 % removed over 30 outcomes (matched "Philadelphia 76ers", exact)
As of
2026-07-18 08:00 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade)
0.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption
1.00 %
Pendant cost
1.00 %

Classifier

Model
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match class
A
Confidence
95.00 %
Reasoning
Klassische Team-Outright für Major League (NBA). Identische quantitative Größe (Meisterschaft 2026), identisches Outcome (Philadelphia 76ers Sieg), Resolution-Termin und -Quelle (NBA) sind Standard. Starke Pinnacle-Abdeckung für Season-Outrights in etablierten Ligen. Hohe Konfidenz für Klasse-A-Match.
Canonical form
Philadelphia 76ers · NBA Championship Winner · 2026-07-01

History

Spread history (last 14 snapshots, oldest first):

1 colour changes in the tracking window.

← Back to overview