Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

sports · class A · confidence 98.00 %

Trade direction

SELL YES on Polymarket / BUY at pendant (Polymarket above pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity
RED
Polymarket bid-ask
GREEN
Match class
GREEN
Spread size
RED
Persistence
YELLOW

Polymarket

Question
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Outcome
Yes
Mid price
0.0330
Bid / Ask
0.0300 / 0.0360 (1c spread)
Volume 24h
$21,448
Open interest
$0
Resolution date
2026-06-30
Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-icehockey_nhl_championship_winner-outrights
Implied probability
1.49 %
Pendant confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle icehockey_nhl_championship_winner outrights, vig 27.34 % removed over 32 outcomes (matched "Philadelphia Flyers", exact)
As of
2026-08-25 08:00 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade)
1.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption
1.00 %
Pendant cost
1.00 %

Classifier

Model
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match class
A
Confidence
98.00 %
Reasoning
Stanley Cup winner markets are standard outright season bets on Pinnacle Sportsbook. This is a binary outcome (Flyers win or don't win) with unambiguous resolution source (NHL official). Resolution date aligns with typical Stanley Cup Finals conclusion. High confidence match in Class A — identical quantitative outcome, standard resolution source, and typical Pinnacle offering for North American major sports.
Canonical form
Philadelphia Flyers · Season Outright - Tournament Winner · 2026-06-30

History

Spread history (last 36 snapshots, oldest first):