Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

sports · class A · confidence 95.00 %

Trade direction

BUY YES on Polymarket / SELL at pendant (Polymarket below pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity
RED
Polymarket bid-ask
GREEN
Match class
GREEN
Spread size
GREEN
Persistence
YELLOW

Polymarket

Question
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Outcome
Yes
Mid price
0.0005
Bid / Ask
0.0005 / 0.0010 (0c spread)
Volume 24h
$1,579,627
Open interest
$0
Resolution date
2026-07-01
Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-basketball_nba_championship_winner-outrights
Implied probability
21.62 %
Pendant confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle basketball_nba_championship_winner outrights, vig 19.50 % removed over 30 outcomes (matched "San Antonio Spurs", exact)
As of
2026-07-18 08:00 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade)
0.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption
1.00 %
Pendant cost
1.00 %

Classifier

Model
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match class
A
Confidence
95.00 %
Reasoning
Standardisierte Saisonausrichter-Wette im Basketball. Domain: Sports (Outright/Tournament-Winner). Event identisch mit Pinnacle-Angebot für NBA-Finalisten. Auflösungsdatum liegt 1 Tag vor angegebenem Termin (Spiele enden typisch 2026-06-30, Resolution 2026-07-01 ist Standard). NBA als offizielle Resolution-Quelle akzeptiert. Klasse A: identische Größe, identisches Outcome, äquivalente Quelle.
Canonical form
San Antonio Spurs · NBA Championship Winner · 2026-06-30

History

Spread history (last 33 snapshots, oldest first):

15 colour changes in the tracking window.