Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

sports · class A · confidence 95.00 %

Trade direction

BUY YES on Polymarket / SELL at pendant (Polymarket below pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity
RED
Polymarket bid-ask
GREEN
Match class
GREEN
Spread size
RED
Persistence
YELLOW

Polymarket

Question
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Outcome
Yes
Mid price
0.0415
Bid / Ask
0.0410 / 0.0420 (0c spread)
Volume 24h
$528
Open interest
$0
Resolution date
2027-03-31
Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-americanfootball_nfl_super_bowl_winner-outrights
Implied probability
5.06 %
Pendant confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle americanfootball_nfl_super_bowl_winner outrights, vig 17.67 % removed over 32 outcomes (matched "San Francisco 49ers", exact)
As of
2026-07-18 08:00 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade)
0.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption
1.00 %
Pendant cost
1.00 %

Classifier

Model
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match class
A
Confidence
95.00 %
Reasoning
Standard NFL season outright (championship winner) market. San Francisco 49ers as named entity, championship outcome clearly defined. Resolution date 2027-03-31 provides buffer post-championship. NFL.com as primary source is standard and accepted at Pinnacle. Pinnacle routinely offers Super Bowl winner markets pre-season. Expected to match Class A (identical quantitative outcome, same resolution framework, equivalent source authority).
Canonical form
San Francisco 49ers · Season Outright / League Championship · 2027-02-07

History

Spread history (last 6 snapshots, oldest first):