Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?

sports · class A · confidence 98.00 %

Trade direction

BUY YES on Polymarket / SELL at pendant (Polymarket below pendant)

Liquidity

RED

Polymarket bid-ask

GREEN

Match class

GREEN

Spread size

YELLOW

Persistence

YELLOW

Source: pinnacle
Instrument: pinnacle-baseball_mlb_world_series_winner-outrights
Implied probability: 8.71 %
Pendant confidence: 95.00 %
Notes: Pinnacle baseball_mlb_world_series_winner outrights, vig 20.89 % removed over 30 outcomes (matched "Seattle Mariners", exact)
As of: 2026-06-03 08:01 UTC

Model: claude-haiku-4-5
Domain: sports
Match class: A
Confidence: 98.00 %
Reasoning: Standard MLB season outright (World Series winner) for 2026. Exact outcome definition (Seattle Mariners as champion), unambiguous resolution date aligned with expected end of 2026 World Series, and resolution via official MLB source. Pinnacle routinely offers such markets. High probability of identical match in Pinnacle's baseball outright offerings.
Canonical form: Seattle Mariners · Season Outright Winner · 2026-10-31

Spread history (last 22 snapshots, oldest first):

1 colour changes in the tracking window.