Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?

sports · class A · confidence 95.00 %

Trade direction

BUY YES on Polymarket / SELL at pendant (Polymarket below pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity
RED
Polymarket bid-ask
GREEN
Match class
GREEN
Spread size
RED
Persistence
YELLOW

Polymarket

Question
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?
Outcome
Yes
Mid price
0.0065
Bid / Ask
0.0060 / 0.0070 (0c spread)
Volume 24h
$26,103
Open interest
$0
Resolution date
2026-10-31
Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-baseball_mlb_world_series_winner-outrights
Implied probability
0.66 %
Pendant confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle baseball_mlb_world_series_winner outrights, vig 20.89 % removed over 30 outcomes (matched "St. Louis Cardinals", exact)
As of
2026-06-03 08:01 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade)
0.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption
1.00 %
Pendant cost
1.00 %

Classifier

Model
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match class
A
Confidence
95.00 %
Reasoning
Klassisches Saison-Outright-Markt für MLB World Series Champion. Identische quantitative Größe (Team-Sieg in spezifischem Major-League-Event), identisches Auflösungsdatum (31. Oktober 2026 liegt nach Saison-Ende, Standard für World Series), akzeptierte Resolution-Quelle (MLB-offiziell). Pinnacle bietet standardmäßig solche Season-Winner-Märkte für alle MLB-Teams an. Klasse A passt: keine Abweichungen in Outcome, Timing oder Source.
Canonical form
St. Louis Cardinals · Season Outright Winner · 2026-10-31

History

Spread history (last 13 snapshots, oldest first):