Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?

sports · class A · confidence 98.00 %

Trade direction

SELL YES on Polymarket / BUY at pendant (Polymarket above pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity
RED
Polymarket bid-ask
GREEN
Match class
GREEN
Spread size
RED
Persistence
YELLOW

Polymarket

Question
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
Outcome
Yes
Mid price
0.0535
Bid / Ask
0.0530 / 0.0540 (0c spread)
Volume 24h
$1,999
Open interest
$0
Resolution date
2026-10-31
Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-baseball_mlb_world_series_winner-outrights
Implied probability
4.87 %
Pendant confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle baseball_mlb_world_series_winner outrights, vig 20.89 % removed over 30 outcomes (matched "Tampa Bay Rays", exact)
As of
2026-06-03 08:00 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade)
0.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption
1.00 %
Pendant cost
1.00 %

Classifier

Model
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match class
A
Confidence
98.00 %
Reasoning
Season-outright (World Series winner) for named team in specified calendar year. Direct match expected on Pinnacle Sportsbook under 'MLB > 2026 World Series > Tampa Bay Rays'. Resolution logic aligns with standard sportsbook handling of playoff elimination and season cancellation. Event date is championship date, resolution source (MLB official) is standard and credible. No quantitative threshold, pure binary outcome.
Canonical form
Tampa Bay Rays · Season Outright Winner · 2026-10-31

History

Spread history (last 22 snapshots, oldest first):