Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?

sports · class A · confidence 98.00 %

Trade direction

BUY YES on Polymarket / SELL at pendant (Polymarket below pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity
RED
Polymarket bid-ask
GREEN
Match class
GREEN
Spread size
RED
Persistence
YELLOW

Polymarket

Question
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?
Outcome
Yes
Mid price
0.0245
Bid / Ask
0.0240 / 0.0250 (0c spread)
Volume 24h
$877
Open interest
$0
Resolution date
2026-10-31
Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-baseball_mlb_world_series_winner-outrights
Implied probability
3.76 %
Pendant confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle baseball_mlb_world_series_winner outrights, vig 20.89 % removed over 30 outcomes (matched "Toronto Blue Jays", exact)
As of
2026-06-03 08:00 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade)
0.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption
1.00 %
Pendant cost
1.00 %

Classifier

Model
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match class
A
Confidence
98.00 %
Reasoning
Standard MLB season outright market for World Series champion. Domain is sports (tournament winner). Event date aligns with typical World Series conclusion (late October 2026). Outcome is binary (Blue Jays win or do not win). Pinnacle offers comprehensive MLB futures including season outrights and World Series winner markets across all teams. Resolution source (MLB official) is universally accepted. High confidence for Class A match due to identical quantitative structure, standard outcome naming convention, and aligned resolution timeframe.
Canonical form
Toronto Blue Jays · Season Outright - Tournament Winner · 2026-10-31

History

Spread history (last 22 snapshots, oldest first):