Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

sports · class A · confidence 95.00 %

Trade direction

BUY YES on Polymarket / SELL at pendant (Polymarket below pendant)

Traffic-light dimensions

Liquidity
RED
Polymarket bid-ask
GREEN
Match class
GREEN
Spread size
RED
Persistence
YELLOW

Polymarket

Question
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Outcome
Yes
Mid price
0.0130
Bid / Ask
0.0120 / 0.0140 (0c spread)
Volume 24h
$15,364
Open interest
$0
Resolution date
2026-06-30
Open Polymarket ↗

Pendant

Source
pinnacle
Instrument
pinnacle-icehockey_nhl_championship_winner-outrights
Implied probability
2.44 %
Pendant confidence
95.00 %
Notes
Pinnacle icehockey_nhl_championship_winner outrights, vig 27.34 % removed over 32 outcomes (matched "Utah Mammoth", exact)
As of
2026-08-25 08:00 UTC

Cost breakdown

Polymarket bid-ask (% of trade)
0.00 %
Polymarket slippage assumption
1.00 %
Pendant cost
1.00 %

Classifier

Model
claude-haiku-4-5
Domain
sports
Match class
A
Confidence
95.00 %
Reasoning
Sport season outright (Stanley Cup winner). Exact event: 2026 NHL Stanley Cup final outcome. Team name 'Utah Mammoth' is the specific outcome. Resolution date aligns with typical Stanley Cup Finals completion (late June). Expected to find Class A match on Pinnacle under 'NHL Outright' or 'Stanley Cup Winner' markets, as Pinnacle covers all major sports season championships. High confidence: standard tournament-winner classification.
Canonical form
Utah Mammoth · season_outright · 2026-06-30

History

Spread history (last 35 snapshots, oldest first):