Whale Trade Ticker

What it will do

• Real-time feed — trades above threshold (e.g. $50k notional) on Polymarket and Kalshi.
• Filters — event category (sports, politics, macro, crypto), minimum contract size, direction (YES/NO).
• Context — price reaction before/after the trade, prior position history of the wallet (where public), market volume trend.
• Profiles — known wallets with consistent track-record performance get labelled.
• Alerts — push notification on whale trades in markets you watch.

Why this matters

Prediction markets are inefficient enough that informed participants regularly have edge. When a wallet with a historical hit-rate enters a large position, that's a stronger signal than the aggregate market price. Smart-money-following is established on crypto and equities; on prediction markets it remains under-analysed.

Current status

Data hookup to the Polymarket subgraph in exploration; Kalshi live trades need API access. Wallet identification and track-record aggregation is its own sub-project. Realistic launch window: 2027.